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15 Jul 2025, Tue

Tensions Rise as U.S. and Indo-Pacific Nations Prepare for Possible War Over Taiwan

U.S. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth, speaking at the 2025 Shangri-La Dialogue in Singapore, warned that China’s military is “actively training” for a potential invasion of Taiwan, describing the threat as “real and potentially imminent.” The U.S. has intensified joint military exercises, such as Mobility Guardian 23, with allies like Australia, Japan, and South Korea, focusing on logistics, air refueling, and medical evacuations to bolster readiness. Japan has begun constructing bomb shelters on islands near Taiwan, while the Philippines has expanded U.S. access to military bases under the Enhanced Defense Cooperation Agreement.

China’s People’s Liberation Army (PLA) conducted its largest naval deployment since 1996 in December 2024, simulating a Taiwan blockade, a move Admiral Samuel Paparo, U.S. Indo-Pacific Command chief, called a “rehearsal” for invasion. Beijing’s military buildup, including advanced hypersonic missiles and man-made islands in the South China Sea, has heightened fears of conflict by 2027, a symbolic deadline tied to the PLA’s centennial. However, Chinese officials deny specific invasion plans, with Xi Jinping reportedly dismissing 2027 as a fixed timeline.

The U.S. strategy, dubbed “Hellscape,” involves deploying thousands of drones to swarm the Taiwan Strait, delaying Chinese forces until reinforcements arrive. Allies like Japan and South Korea, major shipbuilders, are also enhancing defense capabilities, with Japan acquiring long-range Tomahawk missiles and South Korea expanding regional security cooperation. Despite this, experts warn that U.S. logistics face vulnerabilities, with pre-positioned stockpiles in places like Australia and Guam critical but potentially targetable.

Taiwan, under President Lai Ching-te, has fortified its defenses, focusing on mobile weaponry like anti-ship missiles, though experts urge faster reforms. A Chinese invasion could cost the global economy $10 trillion, with Taiwan’s semiconductor industry—vital for global tech—at risk. Beijing insists Taiwan is a domestic issue, warning the U.S. against “playing with fire.”

The Pentagon’s push for allied clarity, as reported by the Financial Times, underscores the need for a coordinated response, with Japan and Australia urged to define their roles explicitly. While President Trump’s “America First” policy has raised concerns about U.S. commitment, allies remain united, driven by China’s growing aggression.

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