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10 Jul 2025, Thu

Here’s how Trump’s mega bill will affect you

Here’s a clear breakdown of the massive “One Big Beautiful Bill” being debated on Capitol Hill—based on the analysis by Zachary Wolf and Tami Luhby and corroborated by multiple news sources:


🏛️ What’s in the Bill

$4–4.5 trillion in tax cuts, including making the 2017 reforms permanent; eliminating taxes on tips and overtime; boosting the child tax credit; a new $6,000 senior deduction; expanded SALT deduction; plus business incentives .

$1.2 trillion in spending cuts — mostly targeting Medicaid, SNAP, green energy, and clean-energy tax credits .


🎯 Who It Affects

Poor & low-income Americans:

Medicaid could lose 18% of funding (~12 million fewer covered) .

SNAP (food stamps) cuts could drop benefits for 2–3 million people .

One analysis finds the bottom 10 % earners would lose ~$1,600 annually, while the wealthiest 5% stand to gain ~$12,000 .

New 80-hour/month work requirements and co-pays threaten to push many off aid programs .

Middle-income earners get moderate benefits ($500–$1,500/year), while high earners and the elderly see larger gains .

Seniors, families, rural hospitals may see some tax relief, but could also face health-care accessibility issues .


⚠️ The Bigger Picture

The bill could increase the national debt by $3–4 trillion over the next decade .

Critics describe it as a massive wealth transfer upward, hitting the most vulnerable hardest while benefiting the wealthy and older Americans .


✅ Why It Matters

Seniors, students, taxpayers, children, parents, low-income families—just about everyone is impacted, either through benefit cuts or tax changes .

The debate touches on deep ideological divides:

Supporters say it encourages work, cuts waste and fraud, and stimulates growth.

Critics warn it’s a regressive, deficit-expanding attack on the social safety net.


🚨 What Next?

The Senate just passed it narrowly (50‑50, VP Vance tie-breaker) .

It heads to the House (potential July 4 vote), though some Republicans (e.g., Thillis, Collins, Tillis, Rand Paul) have voiced concerns .

Final version reconciliation will shape details like SALT cap limits, clean energy cuts, work rules, and benefit structures.


🧭 Bottom Line

This sweeping bill penalizes the poor while rewarding higher earners, seniors, and businesses—than impacting nearly all Americans in different ways. As Wolf and Luhby note, “just about everyone else will be affected.” It’s a critical moment in the balancing act between tax policy, fiscal responsibility, and social welfare.

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